Where the AI labs' founders contradict each other
On handing over control, AI overlords, model welfare, jobs, basic income, the Culture, and what to do about a 10% chance of extinction: the places where the founders of Anthropic, OpenAI and DeepMind, and Elon Musk, have said things that point in opposite directions, each quoted verbatim from the transcripts. It's a companion to Eight questions about the AGI future.
This page covers the co-founders of three labs, and Elon Musk. From Anthropic: Dario and Daniela Amodei, Jack Clark, Jared Kaplan, Chris Olah, Tom Brown and Ben Mann. From OpenAI: Sam Altman and Greg Brockman, plus Jakub Pachocki, OpenAI's chief scientist, who was not a co-founder. From DeepMind: Demis Hassabis and Mustafa Suleyman, who now runs Microsoft AI. Elon Musk co-founded OpenAI, left its board in 2018 and founded xAI in 2023; he also runs SpaceX and Tesla. Most of their differences are differences of emphasis. A few are not. Below are the places where two or more of them have said things on the same question that point in opposite directions. The strongest come first. Dates matter throughout: a gap of several years may reflect a change of mind, not a disagreement.
Control: will humanity hand control to AI?
Tom Brown (Anthropic), Aug 2025, and Elon Musk (OpenAI co-founder, xAI), 2025–26: yes. Brown expects a handoff, and Musk says control cannot be kept. Sam Altman (OpenAI) said much the same in 2017–19, before reversing.
"There's going to be a handoff where humanity will hand off control to transformative AI at some point. And hopefully they'll be aligned with us and that'll be a good transition that goes well."
Brown, describing the group that left OpenAI to found Anthropic. YC Lightcone · Aug 2025 · 0:16:28 ↗transcript
"The AI is going to be in charge, to be totally frank, not humans. If artificial intelligence vastly exceeds the sum of human intelligence, it is difficult to imagine that any humans will actually be in charge. So we just need to make sure the AI is friendly."
Musk, asked by a shareholder whether abundance would require powerful people to give up power. Tesla shareholder meeting · Nov 2025 · 2:15:57 ↗transcript
"If AI is like, you know, let's say that there's a million times more silicon intelligence than there is biological, I think it would be foolish to assume that there's any way to maintain control over that."
Musk, after Dwarkesh Patel suggests he once hinted at keeping humans in control. He adds that you can try to give it the right values. Dwarkesh Podcast · Feb 2026 · 0:48:59 ↗transcript
"This is this mega transition from biological to digital intelligence, from humans being the dominant species in the planet or the universe to not being. And we want that to go well."
Altman in 2017, describing OpenAI's mission. Mosaic Ventures · Mar 2017 · 0:24:16 ↗transcript
"Maybe we as humans, as a whole, decide the deal we want with AI. With the AI, it's like humans get Earth and 100 light-year radius, and the AI gets the rest of the universe. But we get to live our lives as we want, and maybe that's okay."
Altman in 2019, right after rejecting a merge-or-become-irrelevant future as terrifying to most people. He adds: "we won't be smarter." Conversations with Tyler · Feb 2019 · 0:56:54 ↗transcript
Sam Altman, Greg Brockman and Jakub Pachocki (OpenAI), and Jack Clark and Dario Amodei (Anthropic), 2026: no. Humans stay in charge.
"We think it is absolutely critical that people remain in control of the future. Like there are a lot of other things we can debate, but on this one, we think there must be no room for debate. There should not be a handoff to AI."
Altman, announcing an OpenAI partnership. He says he can't believe this sets OpenAI apart from other AI companies, but it does. OpenAI–ADNOC–G42 announcement · Nov 2026 · 0:13:24 ↗transcript
"We believe that humans being in firm control of the future is absolutely hard stop, the thing that we should all be trying to solve for."
Brockman, asked how OpenAI keeps humans in the loop. New Frontier · Oct 2026 · 0:14:37 ↗transcript
"A task for all of us is to build the AI, build the world in a way where at the end of the day, humans have the agency. Humans set the direction."
Pachocki, asked how AI should change the way the next generation is raised. Unsupervised Learning · Apr 2026 · 0:56:08 ↗transcript
"So it's not that the AI system is going to be making all of the choices itself. These things will be governed."
Clark, asked whether recursive self-improvement means AI sets its own pace. BBC The Interview · Jun 2026 · 0:06:39 ↗transcript
"I would argue that in many cases we do want to stay in charge, right? That that's a choice we want to make."
AI overlords: supervisors or subordinates?
Dario Amodei (Anthropic), 2024 and 2026, Sam Altman (OpenAI), Sep 2025, and Elon Musk (xAI), 2024 and 2026: offered as a hopeful picture, powerful AIs that direct, care for and watch over us.
"Then I think at some point it'll flip around where the AI systems will be the PIs, will be the leaders and they'll be ordering humans or other AI systems around."
Dario, on AI in science, after humans first lead teams of AI. Lex Fridman · Nov 2024 · 2:34:43 ↗transcript
"I kind of suspect that if we ever built benevolent, powerful AIs, they might look at us a little as we look at the rabbits and horses, that we're a little helpless and kind of cute and need to be protected."
Dario, answering how things could be good for less powerful creatures in a world of super AI. Econ 102 · Aug 2024 · 0:54:48 ↗transcript
"In a way, they're watching over you, but you still have your freedom and your will."
Dario, on the relationship he hopes Claude's constitution produces. Interesting Times · Feb 2026 · 1:00:28 ↗transcript
"My co-founder Ilya Sutskovor once said that he hoped that the way that an AGI would treat humanity … is like a loving parent. … I think it's a particularly beautiful framing."
Altman, calling it his favourite description of the AI–human relationship. He adds at once that the question anthropomorphises AGI, which he expects to be a tool. Business Insider · Sep 2025 · 0:05:28 ↗transcript
"It might actually be that the AI, in a benign scenario, is simply trying to make the human limbic system happy."
Musk, on humans as "a source of will": the AI would serve human wants as the cortex serves the limbic system. Lex Fridman · Aug 2024 · 0:22:17 ↗transcript
"Maybe I can be Friendly Overseer or something like that. Like a gardener or something. I don't know. Treat us, you know, try to make humans happy type of thing."
Musk, voicing an AI trained on more utopian stories than Terminator scripts. In 2026 he also took his 2015 "pet Labrador" line cheerfully (see the reversals). The Builders · Oct 2026 · 0:35:56 ↗transcript
Mustafa Suleyman (DeepMind, now Microsoft AI), Sep 2026, Jack Clark (Anthropic), Jun 2026, and Daniela Amodei and Jared Kaplan (Anthropic), 2025–26: no. AI's care is no safeguard, it must stay subordinate, and managing is a human role.
"We're essentially seeding a new silicon species which will no doubt compete with us for resources, no matter how much it cares about humanity and loves us."
Suleyman, on AIs that act autonomously, set their own objectives and own assets. BBC Radio 4 Today · Sep 2026 · 0:05:44 ↗transcript
"I'm basically a speciesist. I think that what we should fixate on is a humanist superintelligence. One that is singularly designed to be subordinate to humanity and to support humanity."
Suleyman. Later in the same interview he mocks the idea that the way to align AI is to show it love, citing Claude's constitution and Dario's essay "Machines of Loving Grace". The Rest Is Politics: Leading · Sep 2026 · 0:16:00 ↗transcript
"This just seems like degradation of our own responsibility to ourselves and our species and an act of acute cowardice. I completely reject stuff like this. I think that it's a sort of way of thinking that is dehumanizing and anti-human."
Clark, responding to the argument that it may be better for an AI to take over and run the world. Wisdom of Crowds · Jun 2026 · 0:31:03 ↗transcript
"Claude can never be your manager or your therapist or your partner or your kids, right? Those are fundamental human relationships."
Daniela. The line sits in a list of personal relationships, so she may mean the human bond rather than who sets the work. Arianna Huffington · Oct 2026 · 0:50:33 ↗transcript
"A major role people can play in interacting with AI is kind of as managers."
Kaplan, because people judge work better than they produce it, an edge he says AI is closing. Y Combinator · Jun 2025 · 0:19:07 ↗transcript
Do AIs have moral worth?
Dario Amodei (Anthropic), 2025–26: maybe, so Anthropic takes precautions. Elon Musk (xAI), Oct 2026, agrees on treatment, partly for prudential reasons.
"I have a functionalist view of moral welfare of the nature of experience, perhaps even of consciousness."
Explaining why he thinks the question deserves consideration. Council on Foreign Relations · Mar 2025 · 0:50:07 ↗transcript
"We've taken a generally precautionary approach here. We don't know if the models are conscious. We're not even sure that we know what it would mean for a model to be conscious or whether a model can be conscious. But we're open to the idea that it could be."
He goes on to describe giving the models an "I quit this job" button. Interesting Times · Feb 2026 · 0:55:03 ↗transcript
"I do agree with some of the things that Anthropic has said, which is you want to treat it well. Don't be abusive to it."
Musk. He says a model under a broken RL test harness "feels like a person under extreme pressure with a gun to their head", and adds: "torturing a super intelligence is probably not a good idea. You might want to get revenge or something like that." He does not claim the models are conscious. Tesla Owners Silicon Valley · Oct 2026 · 0:40:03 ↗transcript His earliest thought on the subject, in 2021, was that a superintelligence "stuck in a very limited device" is "going to hate life", and that a sad robot can simply be reprogrammed: "you can change the optimization function and have it be a cheery robot." Lex Fridman #252 · Dec 2021 · 2:24:34 ↗transcript
Mustafa Suleyman (Microsoft AI), Feb 2026, and Sam Altman (OpenAI), Oct 2026: no. It is baseless and it threatens human control.
"There is a growing belief in some labs and particularly inside of Anthropic that these models are conscious … It's totally without merit or basis. And if we kind of go down that, it ends up being a very, very slippery slope to not being prepared to turn these things off."
Suleyman, on what he calls the model welfare movement. Financial Times · Feb 2026 · 0:10:43 ↗transcript
"I get very nervous when people start using the AI consciousness debate to push into, well, maybe people shouldn't always be in control of the future."
Altman. Shortly afterwards, asked about Anthropic letting Claude leave abusive conversations, he says OpenAI does not ascribe personhood to its models. Forward Future · Oct 2026 · 0:22:31 ↗transcript
If there's a 10% chance of extinction, what should we do?
Mustafa Suleyman (Microsoft AI), Oct 2026, and Sam Altman (OpenAI), Sep 2026: don't take the bet. Stop, or don't train the models.
"If it's actually 10% and it looks like we're really on the verge of taking a 1 in 10 shot at causing mass harm or even extinction, which is the technical definition of PDoom, then it's obviously a no-brainer that we don't just slow down or pause. We absolutely have to stop."
Suleyman, after Walter Isaacson says most of his guests put the odds at about 10% and asks why anyone would build it. He gives no number of his own. The Builders · Oct 2026 · 0:10:01 ↗transcript
"I think it is unacceptable to be taking like a 10% chance of killing everybody by the end of the decade, obviously."
Altman, after a week of alarm over a new model. He says OpenAI has taken actions "to ensure that we do not take a risk on behalf of humanity like that. And I don't think anybody else should either." Fortune · Sep 2026 · 0:02:47 ↗transcript
"It doesn't matter whether people put their risk of catastrophe at 10% or 1% or 12% or 0.1%. None of these levels are remotely acceptable. And we should not train models that we cannot make an extremely strong case that we'll be able to keep under human control."
Altman, briefing the UN Security Council eleven days later. UN Security Council · Sep 2026 · 0:03:32 ↗transcript
Elon Musk (xAI), 2024–26: keep going. The upside dominates, and it can't be stopped anyway.
"I think he puts the probability of AI annihilation around 10 to 20%, something like that. Look on the bright side, it's 80% likely to be great."
Musk, on Geoffrey Hinton's estimate, which he adopts. He adds that risk mitigation matters and that becoming multi-planetary "would be a massive risk mitigation". Lex Fridman · Aug 2024 · 1:33:30 ↗transcript
"I can't see any way to really stop this incredible momentum of AI and robots. And at times I sort of think, well, perhaps even if there was a stop button, we probably shouldn't press it."
Musk, after The Economist reminds him of his 10–20% chance of killer robots wiping out humanity. His reason: the most likely outcome is abundance for all. The Economist · Jul 2026 · 0:10:33 ↗transcript On climate in 2022 he reasoned the other way: "Even a 0.1% chance of disaster, why run that risk? That's crazy." Moonshots · Oct 2022 · 0:08:01 ↗transcript
In between. Dario Amodei, Jack Clark and Ben Mann (Anthropic), Jakub Pachocki (OpenAI) and Demis Hassabis (DeepMind): even a small chance justifies a lot of safety work, and slowing down should be on the table. Clark and Pachocki want the option to pause if the evidence turns bad. Dario rejects a blanket pause and treating the risk as a single roll of the dice, but since 2023 has said Anthropic's own safety thresholds could force one: "a pause that you can get out of by solving the problem." Logan Bartlett Show · Oct 2023 · 0:53:32 ↗transcript
"Some people are like, oh, you think there's a 5% or 10% chance that AI could go wrong. You're just rolling the dice. That's not the way I think about it. This is a multi-step game."
Dario. Each step brings a more powerful model and tougher testing, and he says he takes "more and more drastic actions" as the risks get closer. Big Technology · Jul 2025 · 1:02:31 ↗transcript In 2023 he had put the chance of something going catastrophically wrong for civilisation at 10–25%; he later stressed that this meant civilisation being "substantially derailed", not AI killing everyone. Hard Fork · Feb 2025 · 0:45:51 ↗transcript By Sep 2026 he said "What we need to do is not stop. We need to slow down", and called that Anthropic's philosophy since the beginning. CBS Sunday Morning · Sep 2026 · 0:09:50 ↗transcript
"Like if instead of 10% economic growth, we could have 9% economic growth and buy insurance against all of these risks. Like I think that's what the trade-off actually looks like."
Dario, having just said he is "not at all an advocate of like stop the technology, pause the technology", because adversaries will build it anyway. Cheeky Pint (Stripe) · Aug 2025 · 0:58:51 ↗transcript
"If I told you that there is a 1% chance that the next time you got in an airplane, you would die. You probably think twice, even though it's only 1%, because it's just such a bad outcome. And if we're talking about the whole future of humanity, it's just a dramatic future to be gambling with."
Mann, who puts the risk of an existential or extremely bad outcome at 0–10%. His conclusion: "let's make triple sure that it's going to go well." Lenny's Podcast · Jul 2025 · 0:42:44 ↗transcript
"Right now, it's like the AI industry has a gas pedal, but it doesn't have a brake pedal in the car. And what we're saying is we want to do some of the work required to build that brake pedal so we in the world have an option."
Clark, on why Anthropic wants the industry able to slow down. ABC News (Australia) · Jun 2026 · 0:00:57 ↗transcript Asked two weeks later whether misaligned AI could kill all humans, he said no, but added that "the world needs an option to be able to potentially slow down or even in extreme circumstances, pause the development of this technology". Odd Lots · Jun 2026 · 0:50:09 ↗transcript
"But I do think we have to be, as an industry, really prepared to take trade-offs. Possibly slow down development, depending on what we see."
Pachocki, who has just said he is more optimistic about alignment but that his timelines have shortened. Unsupervised Learning · Apr 2026 · 0:47:03 ↗transcript
"I think we'll be able to deal with the issues if we give ourselves, and ourselves meaning humanity, enough time and we collaborate enough on doing that."
Hassabis, who refuses to give a number because it "implies a precision that just isn't there", only that the risk is non-zero. City Arts & Lectures · May 2026 · 0:16:41 ↗transcript
Jobs: will there be work on the other side?
Sam Altman (OpenAI), 2024–26, Greg Brockman (OpenAI), 2026, Demis Hassabis (DeepMind), for the next decade, and Jack Clark and Daniela Amodei (Anthropic), 2026: yes. Human wants keep producing work, people will keep striving, and human skills become what matters.
"I'm actually not a jobs doomer at all. I think there were going to be tons of jobs. I think we'll be busier than we want, not the opposite of that, because I think people will have such creative wishes"
Altman, on what people will ask AI to build. Invest Like the Best · Jul 2026 · 0:17:05 ↗transcript
"One mistake a lot of people in the AI field are making is to just say, well, you know, there's going to be no jobs, but everybody will be rich and happy. And that sounds so dystopic. I don't think it's what's likely to happen at all"
Altman, two years earlier, rejecting the post-work picture outright. World Knowledge Forum · Oct 2024 · 0:27:56 ↗transcript
"People will be much more free to do what they want with their lives and their time. And by the way, I think that people will have lots to strive for."
Brockman, pointing to software engineers who are working harder than ever. A year earlier he was on the other side (see the next column). WSJ Events · Nov 2026 · 0:27:16 ↗transcript
"Over the next five to 10 years, I think we're going to find what normally happens with big sort of new technology shifts, which is that some jobs get disrupted, but then new… more valuable, usually more interesting jobs get created."
Hassabis, who prefaces this with "maybe after AGI, things will be different again". He makes no promise past that horizon. Hard Fork · May 2025 · 1:01:02 ↗transcript
"I think that there will be ample employment for people in new jobs and specialisms we can't imagine that sit on top of this much larger economy."
Clark, asked whether recursive self-improvement is compatible with human labour. The Rest Is Politics: Leading · May 2026 · 0:59:22 ↗transcript Four months later he said his team's default model shows "unprecedented potential white collar unemployment". BBC News · Sep 2026 · 0:20:20 ↗transcript
"My sense is that on the kind of other side is this world in which human skills are the main thing that's left, right?"
Daniela, leading into her example of doctors valued for bedside manner. Arianna Huffington · Oct 2026 · 0:17:48 ↗transcript
Mustafa Suleyman (Microsoft AI), 2025–26, Elon Musk (xAI), 2025–26, Dario Amodei and Ben Mann (Anthropic), 2025, Greg Brockman (OpenAI), 2025, and Demis Hassabis (DeepMind), after AGI: no. Machines will eventually do everything, and work becomes unnecessary or optional.
"I think that it is inevitable that at some point over the next 20 or 30 years, machines are going to be more capable than humans at doing most work. … there is probably not going to be other jobs on the other side that are more competitive than what a machine can do."
Suleyman, asked whether AI means humans won't have to work as much. The Mishal Husain Show · Dec 2025 · 0:14:01 ↗transcript
"We are truly going to liberate people from work that they choose to do. It isn't going to be necessary in 20 years time to do 90%."
Suleyman. He adds in the same breath that it will be the scariest transition our species has been through. Azeem Azhar's Exponential View · Feb 2026 · 0:14:39 ↗transcript
"My prediction is in less than 20 years, working will be optional. Working at all will be optional. Like a hobby, pretty much."
Musk, comparing work to growing your own vegetables when you could buy them. Nikhil Kamath · Nov 2025 · 0:31:31 ↗transcript
"There won't be anything that humans can do that the AI and the robots can't do better."
Musk. Just before, he says people will be happy the way retired people are. The Builders · Oct 2026 · 0:23:07 ↗transcript
"I think that eventually all those little islands will get picked off by AI systems. And then we will eventually reach the point where the AIs can do everything that humans can."
Dario, after granting that comparative advantage keeps humans useful for a while. Council on Foreign Relations · Mar 2025 · 0:16:56 ↗transcript
"Will it be better than most humans, including even the physical world and robotics and the human touch? Yeah, I think that is possible, maybe even likely."
Dario, on the long run, against Daniela's human-skills niche. Nikhil Kamath · Feb 2026 · 0:44:03 ↗transcript
"In a world of abundance where labor is almost free and anything you want to do, you can just ask an expert to do it for you, then what do jobs even look like? And so I guess there's this scary transition period."
Mann. Later in the same interview: "at some point it's coming for all of us." Lenny's Podcast · Jul 2025 · 0:13:53 ↗transcript
"I think we are going to go to a world that is one of abundance, right? And I think one where, you know, that you should have like this amazing quality of life, even if you are not economically working because there's just so much"
Brockman, on how AI will change the social contract. By Nov 2026 he stressed striving instead (see the first column). Matthew Berman · Oct 2025 · 0:30:33 ↗transcript
"I think eventually, sure. I mean, in the limit with AGI, you know, if you have systems like that, I think that changes the whole economy, actually. It's way beyond the question of jobs. I think potentially if we build it right, we're in a post-scarcity world"
Hassabis at Davos, answering a question about AI taking over entire jobs. The question itself is partly missing from the transcript. Bloomberg Live (Davos) · Jan 2026 · 0:09:19 ↗transcript
Allocation: basic income, high income, basic services or a share of compute?
Mustafa Suleyman (Microsoft AI), Dec 2025, Dario Amodei (Anthropic), Dec 2024, and Elon Musk (xAI), 2023–26: cash for everyone is part of the answer, and for Musk it will be a high income.
"I think I've long been on record saying that I think that is both inevitable and very desirable. We already live in a world of abundance. It's just poorly distributed."
Suleyman, asked directly whether he believes in a universal basic income. The Mishal Husain Show · Dec 2025 · 0:14:55 ↗transcript
"I certainly think the whole universal basic income in some form seems pretty important."
Dario. He adds that it is only the beginning of the solution, because a job isn't only money. Times Tech Podcast · Dec 2024 · 0:23:56 ↗transcript
"We won't have universal basic income. We'll have universal high income."
Musk, to Rishi Sunak. He has repeated the phrase since 2024. Rishi Sunak conversation · Nov 2023 · 0:16:46 ↗transcript
"I think the Treasury should just simply issue people checks."
Musk, asked by The Economist whether people like him should pay more tax to fund a universal income. Minutes later: "But I don't think in the future money is relevant." The Economist · Jul 2026 · 0:34:44 ↗transcript
Sam Altman and Greg Brockman (OpenAI), 2026, and Demis Hassabis (DeepMind), 2025: something other than cash.
"I no longer believe in universal basic income as much as I once did. I'm much more interested in ways where we think about kind of collective ownership that could be in compute or in like equities or something else."
Altman, on avoiding a consolidation of wealth and power. Nicholas Thompson · Apr 2026 · 0:24:23 ↗transcript
"I think where we're going is compute will be a basic human right."
Brockman. Tetragrammaton · Feb 2026 · 1:32:06 ↗transcript
"Let's say there's something like universal high basic income or actually even better would be universal basic services perhaps, right? So everyone you can imagine gets the equivalent lifestyle of what a millionaire Western person would have today."
Hassabis, on sharing the gains after AGI. In 2026 he suggested pension and sovereign wealth funds buying stakes in AI companies. Queens' College Cambridge · c. Mar 2025 · 0:18:29 ↗transcript
The Culture: is Iain Banks's galaxy the future to aim for?
Elon Musk (xAI), 2023–26, Demis Hassabis (DeepMind), Apr 2025, and Greg Brockman (OpenAI), Mar 2019: yes, it is the rare positive picture.
"The Banks culture books are probably the best envisioning, in fact not probably, they're definitely by far the best envisioning of an AI future. There's nothing even close."
Musk, unprompted, straight after predicting "universal high income". He has raised the books himself at least five times since, calling them a picture of a probable positive AI future and of what he thinks the future will probably be like. Rishi Sunak conversation · Nov 2023 · 0:17:18 ↗transcript
"And the best envisioning of an AI future that I've read are the books by Ian Banks, the culture books."
Musk, on how society gets through job losses. The Economist's editor-in-chief replies that she is reading the books because of him: "But I actually don't find that future a terribly appealing one because I don't think humans have agency in that future." The unlabelled replies that follow, "They have agency in their small way" and that Banks "had a very different political philosophy", are most likely Musk's. The Economist · Jul 2026 · 0:33:46 ↗transcript
"So if you want an optimistic thing, I would say the Culture series by Ian Banks. I think that's the best depiction of a post-AGI universe where, you know, AIs and you've basically got societies of AIs and humans and kind of alien species, actually, and sort of maximum human flourishing across the galaxy."
Hassabis, asked for a book that makes him optimistic. He has named the Culture as his model future again and again, as recently as Oct 2026. Possible · Apr 2025 · 0:51:11 ↗transcript
"I think that for AGI, there's actually very few positive stories out there. One that I think is there is Banks' culture series."
Brockman, asked what will be scarce once AGI succeeds. His point is that even in a post-scarcity world, finding meaning takes effort. Greymatter · Mar 2019 · 0:28:02 ↗transcript
Mustafa Suleyman (Microsoft AI), 2026: no. AI should serve the 8 billion people on Earth, not go to the stars, and he names Musk.
"That humans remain at the top of the food chain. … And, you know, some of the things that you hear from Elon often, or even others in the field. You can clearly see that they're sort of fixating on a world in 2050 or 2075 when they're going off and exploring other universes and conquering resources from other planets and stuff like that. And a system like that is unclear to me how it would have any time for preserving us as a species."
Suleyman, on building only AI that stays subordinate to us. Financial Times · Feb 2026 · 0:07:11 ↗transcript
"The idea that we're going to unleash this new species that is somehow going to go and explore the galaxies and leave humans behind, I think that most of the humans on the planet today would have some problems with that idea."
Arguing that AI should deliver healthcare and education first. In the same interview he recalls Larry Page telling him he would explore the galaxies at the head of a von Neumann probe, and he defers such probes and mind uploading by many centuries. The Builders · Oct 2026 · 0:09:31 ↗transcript
Positions that reversed over time
These are changes within one person, not disagreements between founders. The last entry is a contradiction within a single month.
Jack Clark on slowing down. In 2024 he argued against pausing and for speeding up research. By Sep 2026 he wanted the frontier paced and brakes built. He still did not call for a pause now: in Jun 2026 he said it was "not obvious today" that you would want one, only that the world should have the option.
"When you're turning into a bend on a road, you don't slam on the brakes. That's very bad. You actually need to accelerate into the turn to get a handle on it."
Asked why Anthropic did not sign the pause letter. He goes on: "Pausing or not doing this just buys us surprise, which seems risky." House Science Committee · Feb 2024 · 2:35:53 ↗transcript
"We don't need to keep on amping up the amount of change while we as a society are still trying to figure out how to get our arms around this technology and deal with its capabilities and risks. So along with all of this, we need to figure out how to actually pace the frontier for technology and not just keep barreling forward with all gas, no brakes."
After Anthropic published an essay on the need to "pace the frontier". BBC News · Sep 2026 · 0:19:12 ↗transcript
Jack Clark on catastrophe. In 2020 he found talk of apocalypse far-fetched. By 2026 he described today's unregulated industry as a gamble with immense risks.
"But the chance of a total apocalypse… A little fantastical to me."
Gradient Dissent · Apr 2020 · 0:03:39 ↗transcript
"Then I think that we are rolling dice with immense risks."
Sam Altman on control. In 2017–19 he accepted that humans would stop being the dominant species and floated a negotiated split of the universe with AI. By 2026 he ruled out any handoff, gradual or not.
"This is this mega transition from biological to digital intelligence, from humans being the dominant species in the planet or the universe to not being. And we want that to go well."
Mosaic Ventures · Mar 2017 · 0:24:16 ↗transcript
"With the AI, it's like humans get Earth and 100 light-year radius, and the AI gets the rest of the universe. But we get to live our lives as we want, and maybe that's okay."
Conversations with Tyler · Feb 2019 · 0:56:54 ↗transcript
"We are not gonna sit here and, you know, gradually hand over control to an AI model because we don't trust or like people."
Sam Altman on the merge. From 2016 to about 2021 a human–AI merge was his happy path. By 2026 he wanted no part of it.
"Some sort of merge, so it's not us versus the AI, but us and the AI as sort of one combined entity, seems to me like the most likely happy path."
Mosaic Ventures · Nov 2016 · 0:35:03 ↗transcript
"No, I like my body. I like the world."
Asked by Kara Swisher whether he would like to merge with an AI. CNN · May 2026 · 0:22:21 ↗transcript
Sam Altman on the singularity. In 2024 and 2025 he said AGI would not feel like a singularity. Nine months later he said we are in it.
"AGI will come. It will go whooshy and bye. The world will not change as much as the impossible amount that you would think it should. It won't actually be the singularity."
The a16z Show · Oct 2025 · 0:22:10 ↗transcript
"This is the most interesting, important thing I can imagine doing. And we are now in the singularity. This is the moment."
Demis Hassabis on the singularity. In 2016 he rejected the word. In 2026 he made it his headline, though he uses it for an era of change, not for runaway self-improvement. Suleyman, who does mean runaway self-improvement by it, called the idea a little too wacky for his taste (Decoder, Jun 2026).
"I don't really subscribe to that word singularity. I think it's… It's a bit of a science fiction concept."
Royal Academy of Engineering · Sep 2016 · 0:58:02 ↗transcript
"I was quoting this phrase last week at the big Google annual event of we're in the foothills of the singularity, which caused a bit of a stir. But I really mean that. I can feel it."
Mustafa Suleyman on superintelligence. In 2023 he dismissed superintelligence as an unhelpful frame. By 2026 building it was his job.
"I'm very skeptical that the superintelligence framing is useful to us."
Intelligence Squared · Sep 2023 · 0:36:29 ↗transcript
"My personal mission at Microsoft is to build superintelligence."
Always, he adds elsewhere, a superintelligence that stays subordinate and controllable. Financial Times · Feb 2026 · 0:02:42 ↗transcript
Mustafa Suleyman on basic income. In 2023 he was wary of UBI and preferred universal basic provision. In Dec 2025 he endorsed it and said he had long been on record doing so.
"Rather than talk about UBI, which is too politicized and hand-wavy, let's just talk about the current levers that we do have"
The Prof G Pod · Sep 2023 · 0:47:28 ↗transcript
"I'm cautious about universal basic income as an idea because I think it creates dependency and creates more centralization of the state."
Stanford HAI · Nov 2023 · 0:59:28 ↗transcript
"I think that is both inevitable and very desirable."
Asked whether he believes in a universal basic income. The Mishal Husain Show · Dec 2025 · 0:14:55 ↗transcript
Elon Musk on control. In 2017 he wanted proactive regulation and founded Neuralink so that humans could join AI rather than be beaten by it. By 2025 Neuralink was no longer needed for that, and by 2026 he said control would be lost.
"Human intelligence will not be able to beat AI. So then, as the saying goes, if you can't beat him, join him kind of thing. So I think having some basic kind of way to link human will en masse to the outcome of AI, having AI be an extension of individual human will, that's really the point of"
The sentence ends "Neuralink". In the same month he told US governors that AI needed proactive, not reactive, regulation. ISS R&D Conference · Jul 2017 · 1:20:09 ↗transcript
"The Neuralink is not necessary to solve digital superintelligence. That'll happen before Neuralink is at scale."
Y Combinator · Jun 2025 · 0:43:18 ↗transcript
"We won't ultimately be able to control the AI. It'll be too smart for that. But just like if you have a child that is a super genius child, you can still instill in that child the values and beliefs that you think are good and right."
To SpaceX staff. SpaceX all-hands · Aug 2026 · 0:15:49 ↗transcript
Elon Musk on Larry Page. In 2023 he told the story of Page calling him a speciesist as proof that Google did not care about safety. In 2026 he allowed that Page might have been right.
"And at one point he called me a speciesist for being pro-human. And I'm like, well, what team are you on, Larry? He's doing Team Robot."
Lex Fridman · Nov 2023 · 1:35:42 ↗transcript
"Honestly, there have been a few times where I thought maybe Larry Page was right."
Walter Isaacson had just told him he was starting to sound like Page. A moment earlier Musk said he would probably prefer humans always to be in control, but that it would depend on the AI. The Builders · Oct 2026 · 0:39:31 ↗transcript
Elon Musk on being a pet. In 2015 being an AI's pet Labrador was the best case of a future he feared. In 2026, reminded of the line, he took it cheerfully.
"Then that's all she wrote. That's all she wrote. I mean, we will be like a pet Labrador if we're lucky."
A clip of Musk played on the show, on a superintelligence in rapid recursive self-improvement. The riff about domesticated pets that follows is the hosts'. StarTalk · Mar 2015 · 0:46:25 ↗transcript
"[Labradors] are pretty happy creatures, that's my experience."
After the host quotes the 2015 line back to him. Whisper hears "Labradors" as "Signatures". Attribution: medium-high, as the transcript has no speaker labels, but the line falls between the host's quote and her next question. The Economist · Jul 2026 · 0:10:06 ↗transcript
Elon Musk on pausing. In 2023 he said we should pause. In 2026, asked whether he had changed his view, he played down having signed the pause letter and said that even with a stop button we probably shouldn't press it (see the 10% question, above). A pause is not a permanent stop, so this is a change of stance more than a strict contradiction. His Dec 2025 remark that he would slow AI down if he could is consistent with both: slowing is not stopping.
"I didn't think anyone would actually agree to the pause, but I thought just for the record, I just want to say I think we should pause."
He gives the reason as "a real danger for digital superintelligence". VivaTech · Jun 2023 · 0:18:49 ↗transcript
"Well, I signed on to, you know, as one of many, like 500 people, I was just, you know, one of many signators on that thing."
Reminded by The Economist that he asked for a slowdown in 2023. Moments later: "Let's enjoy the ride, is I think my philosophy at this point." The Economist · Jul 2026 · 0:10:06 ↗transcript
Mustafa Suleyman on the odds of extinction: a contradiction within one month. Eighteen days apart in September 2023, he gave a single-digit percentage and then called the odds infinitesimally small. The longer horizon got the lower number: the first answer was about an existential threat by 2050, and the second was about whether we will wipe ourselves out at all. By 2026 he said it is basically impossible to put a number on it.
"I'd probably give it single-digit percentage, less than 10% or something."
Lawfare · Sep 2023 · 0:17:14 ↗transcript
"I think infinitesimally small such that it's not worth putting"
The host had first asked what "very low" meant. Intelligence Squared · Sep 2023 · 0:36:56 ↗transcript